The only possible way to neutralize the process of natural population decline is to replace citizens of the state with migrants. What countries are losing population and what will happen to them by the end of the 21st century?
The post uses data from 2016.
Data taken from: “The World Factbook. BIRTH RATE. CIA "(2016)," The World Factbook. Death Rate. CIA "(2016)."
The leader in terms of depopulation is Eastern and Central Europe.
10th place - Romania
Natural population decline is 2.9 ‰.
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By 2100, the population of the state will decline from 19.9 million to 12.1 million.
The decline in population began after the overthrow of Nicolae Ceausescu.
9th place - Croatia
Natural population decline is 3.1 ‰.
By 2100, the population of the state will decline from 4.2 million to 2.6 million. There are several reasons for the depopulation: the population aged 22 to 30 is trying to find more paid work in Austria, Italy, Germany, and France. And the fertility rate is 1.4 (to replace the population, it is necessary that the coefficient be higher than 2).
8th place - Germany
Natural population decline is 3.1 ‰.
By 2100, the population of the state will decline from 81.7 million to 71 million people.
A significant inflow of immigrants remains an important demographic factor compensating for the low birth rate in the country. In 2015, the share of the population with migratory roots was 21%.
7th place - Slovenia
Natural population decline is 3.2 ‰.
By 2100, the population of the state will decline from 2.1 million to 1.7 million. It is noteworthy that throughout the 20th century, the population grew despite two world wars and crises.
6th place - Hungary
Natural population decline is 3.7 ‰.
By 2100, the population of the state will decline from 9.8 million to 6.4 million. From 1960 to 1973, the number of abortions in the country was higher than the number of children born. The demographic decline in Hungary began in 1981. After the change of the ruling regime, the crisis only worsened.
5th place - Ukraine
Natural population decline is 3.9 ‰.
By 2100, the population of the state will decline from 44.7 million to 28.2 million.
In just 80 years, the population will decline by half. There are several reasons at once: migration, low birth rate, military conflict in the East.
4th place - Latvia
Natural population decline is 4.5 ‰.
By 2100, the population of the state will decline from 2 million to 1.2 million people. The reasons for depopulation are about the same as in Lithuania: the closure of enterprises, unemployment.
3rd place - Lithuania
Natural population decline is 4.5 ‰.
By 2100, the population of the state will decline from 2.9 million to 2 million people.
A sharp depopulation began after 1992, when the unemployment rate rose.
2nd place - Serbia
Natural population decline is 4.6 ‰.
By 2100, the population of the state will decline from 8.8 million to 5.4 million people. Due to the low birth rate and emigration of young people, the state is one of the ten countries in the world with the highest average age of the population.
1st place - Bulgaria
Rating anti-leader. Natural population decline is 5.7 ‰.
By 2100, the population of the state will decline from 7.1 million to 3.8 million people. A significant part goes to the EU countries to work.