Even if the Paris Agreement is respected, according to which the average temperature on Earth should not rise by more than 1.5 degrees, climate change remains dangerous for a number of vulnerable regions, including the Arctic and monsoon regions. This is the conclusion reached by scientists from the Open University and Sheffield University in the UK. Their article was published in the journal Nature Climate Change. This was announced in a press release on Phys.org.
Some experts have questioned the feasibility of efforts to curb the rise in temperature, given that the Earth is already one degree warmer and that warming is being "delayed" by the ocean. However, other scientists believe that lowering greenhouse gas emissions could prevent a “lagging” rise in temperature.
Researchers have developed a climate model that takes into account ocean-atmosphere interactions, the carbon cycle and the amount of carbon dioxide emissions, and assessed the likelihood of reaching the Paris Agreement, as well as its implications for the biosphere. It turned out that limiting the rise in temperature is technically achievable even without excessive restrictions on greenhouse gas emissions with a 50 percent probability. However, in this case, the accompanying climate changes may be unpredictable for some areas of the Earth, where the frequency of weather disasters may increase.
On June 8, it was reported that climatologists of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) came to the conclusion that an increase in global temperature by even 1.5 degrees Celsius would lead to serious climate change, the disappearance of natural ecosystems and the extinction of many species. It is estimated that if the warming trend continues by 2100, coastal megacities will flood and some inhabited islands, including the Maldives, will disappear.