Considering that by 2050 the world's population could reach 9 billion, the demand of the world's inhabitants for meat products and water will be so difficult to satisfy that humanity will be in a state of collapse. Civil wars, rampant terrorism will begin, which, combined with natural disasters, will lead to the total destruction of our world.
This week, Lloyds, the oldest insurance company in the UK, published a report developed by specialists from the Institute for Sustainable Development at the University of Anglia Ruskin with the support of the governments of Great Britain and the United States of America.
The report argues that the world will be swept by a series of catastrophic events caused by a combination of climate change, food and water shortages, energy shortages, and political instability.
The report, written for the insurance community, was published to assess the risks associated with a global food shortage, which is "considered highly probable based on analysis of current events", as well as "sharply increased political instability."
The theory places great emphasis on the agricultural model of the world and "growing pressures" making it difficult to meet the needs of the human population, which is estimated to reach 9 billion by 2050.
“The global demand for food is increasing due to the unprecedented growth of the world's population. To satisfy it, according to the calculations of the World Food Organization (UN World Food Organization), by 2050 it will be necessary to more than double the production of agricultural products. However, our ongoing commitment to meeting food demand "dramatically increases the vulnerability of the entire system."
The report also predicts an increase in the “intensity and frequency of extreme natural events,” including floods, widespread fires, and the spread of pests and diseases, which will lead to a sharp decline in agricultural production.
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This will be further exacerbated by the escalating problem of water scarcity, which will be so complicated that two-thirds of the world's population will live under “water stress” by 2025.
Spikes in food prices and rising political instability will exacerbate the effects of food shortages and cause a cascade of economic, social and political upheaval across the planet.”
“A severe drought will hit eastern and southeastern Australia as well as southeast Asia. Australia's wheat production will be cut in half by the drought, as it did in 2002 when the heat wave coincided with a 21 percent reduction in summer monsoon rainfall.”
“The eastern and southeastern states of Australia are already experiencing sharp declines in average rainfall, a phenomenon similar to that seen in most wheat producing countries. The effects of the drought will spread from agricultural regions to urban areas and the Australian economy as a whole."
Experts predict that wheat, corn and soybeans will rise in price four times over 2000, and rice prices - five times. Here begins a chain reaction: “significant negative humanitarian consequences and large financial losses around the world” will trigger a wave of political unrest, terrorism and military conflicts.
Rising grain prices will lead to hardships in individual countries and food riots in urban areas throughout the Middle East, North Africa and Latin America.
The apocalyptic scenario continues.
As a result of the use of troops in Kenya to organize the distribution of products, several terrorist attacks occur on the territory of the country. This is followed by a travel ban. Several explosions occur simultaneously in buses and museums in Nairobi.
Coup d'état in South Sudan. Nigeria is experiencing a food shortage caused by government measures to control food distribution in the north of the country. The radical Islamist group Boko Haram begins major hostilities. The capital is plunged into continuous fighting, and the main ports of the country are in the hands of the rebels. Mass robberies and looting begin. Violence spreads to Cameroon.
African troops are deployed to Nigeria, but fail to stop the country from plunging into the chaos of a civil war.
Tensions between Pakistan and India are mounting as Pakistani media and nationalist politicians blame India for escalating the crisis and further escalating food inflation in Pakistan. The Lashkar-e-Taiba terrorist group claims responsibility for the bomb explosion during the Indian Premier League cricket match, declaring it to be revenge for India's aggression against the Pakistani people. All further league matches are terminated for security reasons.
Considering that the world's population has grown by six billion people in just two hundred years, hunger on the planet with all the ensuing consequences is a very real prospect.
According to Insurge Intelligence, which first published information about this scientific model, Dr. Aled Jones, director of the Institute for Sustainable Development at the University of Anglia Ruskin, confirmed that if fundamental changes occur in the global economic system, the described total catastrophe will undoubtedly await us.
According to Jones and his colleagues, careful preparation for future challenges and radical changes are necessary. It looks like we have a reason to think seriously.