Have you thought about the time when robots will become the same familiar helpers in our homes, like, say, refrigerators or microwaves? Ray Kurzweil does not make assumptions, he names the exact date - 2027. But why is he so confident in his predictions? Ray Kurzweil is a renowned inventor, futurist and writer. He is also working for Google on new projects related to machine learning and language processing. Ray is known for his scientific predictions, some of which have already come true. For example, he predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union, the victory of computers over the world's best chess players, the emergence of digital assistants (such as Siri), and virtual reality.
Let's remember what predictions this futurist made about what the world of the future will look like: will there be any unusual changes? Perhaps science fiction films will soon become our new reality.
Accuracy of forecasts
Some of his predictions are truly incredible, but Ray Kurzweil rarely makes mistakes. In October 2010, he published a report that analyzed all the predictions he made in his books in 1990, 1999 and 2005. Of the 147 predictions, 115 fully came true, 12 turned out to be true in general, 17 - partially, and only 3 turned out to be false. Thus, the effectiveness of the predictions of a futurist is 86%.
2019
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Humanity will be able to defeat diseases that are fatal even in civilized countries.
The aging process will slow down or even stop.
2020
Computers will continue to shrink and change in shape. For example, they can become part of our clothing.
A world government will be created to represent the interests of all people on the planet.
Starting in 2020, new “human bodies” will appear, created using nanotechnology.
Advertising campaigns will be broadcasted individually to each person via audio channels.
2025
Unmanned aerial vehicles and cars will be 100% controlled by computers.
This year will see the premiere of an ambitious nanotechnology that will help us understand how the human brain works.
2027
Individual parts of the human brain can be simulated using a computer.
At the end of the 2020s, artificial intelligence will appear, which in its complexity and abilities can be compared with the human brain.
2029
Artificial intelligence will be able to cope with the Turing test, which will prove its ability to think like a person.
In the late 2020s, the quality of virtual reality will be so high that it will be difficult to distinguish it from physical reality.
Nanomachines will be widely used in medicine.
The production of nanotechnology will become so popular that it will radically change the world's economy.
Nanorobots will be able to enter cells to deliver nutrients to them and remove waste, so the traditional process of eating will become unnecessary.
2030s
People will be able to "download" the brain. They will live on the Internet and create projections of their bodies in both physical and virtual reality.
Virtual reality equipment will disappear as nanomachines begin to be implanted directly into the brain, allowing them to interact with its cells.
Nanomachines will help improve the cognitive and sensory abilities of the human brain, such as memory.
People will be able to communicate with each other using telepathy.
We will learn to change a person's personality and memories.
A third version of the human body will appear without any particular shape. People will be able to change their appearance depending on what they like.
2040s
Non-biological intelligence will exceed the capabilities of biological intelligence billions of times.
People will start spending most of their time in virtual reality. An example of such a virtual world is The Matrix.
Nanorobots will begin to be widely used to create any shape and surface.
2045
By this time, people with new bodies will be perceived as normal.
A truly powerful computer that will be smarter than all the people on the planet can be bought for $ 1,000.
A technological singularity will appear: the level of artificial intelligence will be higher than human, and it will become the smartest form of life on Earth.
The Singularity will forever change human history.
The extinction of humanity is hardly possible, since there will not be much difference between humans and machines.
2045-2099
The earth will turn into one giant computer.
People who want to keep their bodies the way nature created them will live on special reservations.
Humanity will no longer be limited by the speed of light.
Artificial intelligence will transfer its influence beyond the Earth to the entire solar system, and then to other galaxies.
Stars, planets and meteors will be transformed into structured material capable of supporting life.
By 2099, machines will be able to build planet-sized computers.
Sounds incredible, doesn't it? At the same time, it remains to wait quite a bit to see if these predictions really come true.
Anna Pismenna