If someone sometimes wonders how soon robots will become for us the same familiar thing in the house as a refrigerator, then Ray Kurzweil does not guess, but names the year - 2027. Why is he so sure of this? Ray Kurzweil is an inventor, futurist, writer, and Google CTO for machine learning and natural language processing. He is known for his scientific technological forecasts, some of which have already come true. For example, he predicted the collapse of the USSR, the victory of the computer in a chess game with the best chess player in the world, the emergence of electronic assistants like Siri and Alice, virtual and augmented reality systems.
We decided to group the forecasts of the futurist for the 21st century: it seems that we are all waiting for something grand. Perhaps, frames from science fiction films will soon become a reality?
Many things are hard to believe now, but Ray Kurzweil is rarely wrong. In October 2010, he released a report where he analyzed how the predictions described in 3 of his books (1990, 1999 and 2005) came true. Of the 147 predictions, 115 were completely correct, 12 were generally correct, 17 were partially correct, and only 3 were erroneous. Thus, the futurist's level of accuracy is as much as 86%.
2019 year
- Humanity will defeat diseases that kill 95% of people in developed countries.
- The processes underlying aging will be significantly slowed down and reversed.
2020 year
- Computers will continue to shrink and begin to lose their familiar shape, such as being sewn into clothes.
- A new World Government will appear over all humanity.
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- From the beginning of this 10th anniversary, “Human Bodies 2.0”, based on nanotechnological systems, will gradually appear.
- Advertising companies will broadcast individual audio ads to each person, which only he can hear.
2025 year
- Military drones and cars will be 100% computer controlled.
- The debut of a promising nanotechnology that will help fully understand the work of the human brain.
2027 year
- Accurate computer modeling of all parts of the human brain will become possible.
- By the end of the 10th anniversary, artificial intelligence will be created, comparable to human.
2029 year
- Artificial intelligence will pass the Turing test, which will confirm that it has the ability to think like a person.
- By the end of the 10th anniversary, virtual reality will be of such high quality that it will be indistinguishable from real reality.
- Nanomachines will be widely used in medicine.
- Nanotechnology-based manufacturing will be so widespread that it will radically change the economy.
- Nanobots will be able to enter cells to "feed" them and eliminate waste - the habitual food consumption will become obsolete.
2030s
- It will be possible to "download the mind": people will be able to live on the Internet, projecting their bodies where and when they want in real or virtual reality.
- Equipment for immersion in virtual reality will disappear: nanomachines will be implanted in the brain, interacting directly with brain cells.
- Nanomachines in the human brain will significantly improve cognitive and sensory capabilities, as well as memory.
- People will be able to "telepathically" communicate with each other via wireless networks.
- It will be possible to change the memories and personality of a person.
- The emergence of "human bodies 3.0", which will not have a specific bodily form. The appearance will change at will.
2040s
- Non-biological intelligence will be billions of times greater than biological intelligence.
- People will spend most of their time in virtual reality. The "Matrix" is an example of such developed virtual worlds.
- Self-organizing nanorobots, capable of forming any objects in combination, will be widespread.
2045 year
- Cybernetically enhanced and "loaded" people will be commonplace by now.
- $ 1,000 could buy a computer billions of times smarter than all people together.
- Technological Singularity Approaches: Artificial Intelligence will surpass humans as the smartest and most capable life form on Earth.
- The Singularity will forever change the course of human history.
- Extermination of humanity by machines is unlikely, since there will be no special differences between man and machine.
2045-2099 years
- The earth will turn into one big, giant computer.
- People who wish to preserve their natural state to a greater extent will live in special reserves.
- Humanity will no longer be limited by the speed of light.
- Artificial intelligence will move beyond the Earth, expanding its influence first to the solar system, then to other galaxies.
- Stars, planets, meteors will be transformed into structured matter capable of supporting life.
- By 2099, machines will be able to build planet-sized computers.
Illustrator Mariya Zavolokina