To learn from the coronavirus pandemic, the world must become less permeable, that is, states must have the right to introduce additional control measures in the "super-spreaders" of diseases - at airports and at borders, American economist, author of the "black swan" theory Nassim Taleb told RIA Novosti. on the sidelines of the Synergy Online Forum.
According to Taleb, although the current pandemic is not over yet, but if humanity now solves this problem, then next time it will know exactly how to react in the case of a respiratory illness. “But if the disease is not respiratory, then we will have to re-learn,” he warned.
Taleb added that the coronavirus pandemic cannot be considered a "black swan", as it could be predicted. “The essence of the 'black swan' is that it cannot be predicted. What we call “white” and “gray” swans are events that are worth worrying about because they are inevitable,”he explained.
Society must determine the system of its vulnerabilities to these events in order to be able to resist them in the future, Taleb said. “We had vulnerabilities to the pandemic, now people know about them, we have financial vulnerabilities, now people know about them. We have climatic vulnerabilities, people know about them. Now we have to worry about GMOs, genetic modifications, as one of the sources of vulnerability, and people will now pay attention to this,”he concluded.
"Black Swan" is Taleb's theory, which considers difficult-to-predict and rare events that have enormous impact and require a new explanation, which ultimately turns out to be simple. Practice has shown that no one can ever predict crises (this is assumed by the theory itself), but experts around the world regularly try to do this.
