The chance that at least one person in the world will live even longer is estimated at 1 in 10,000
A group of American scientists from the Albert Einstein College of Medicine found that the maximum age to which a person can live is 125 years. At the same time, the "average for a long-liver" life expectancy is estimated by experts at 115 years, the study notes.
The probability that at least one person in the world will live more than 125 years is estimated by scientists at 0.0001 percent, and, more importantly, the authors of the study argue that this figure is unlikely to change fundamentally in the near future. Although in recent years the average life expectancy in many countries has been increasing quite rapidly, the peak of its maximum life expectancy, according to scientists, was reached at the end of the last century.
Doctors analyzed a very large database containing information on deaths in 40 countries since 1900. As it turned out, over a century or more, a person's chances of living to 70 years old increased, that is, a particular year of birth corresponded to a higher percentage probability of reaching this age than the previous year. Even more clearly, depending on the year of birth, the likelihood of a person meeting their own century grew, but after that the trend began to decline again. By about 1995, people's chances of living more than a hundred years had stopped growing. Around the same time, in 1997, at the age of 122 years, 5 months and 14 days, Jeanne Kalman, a Frenchwoman, died, whose life expectancy is considered a record of all recorded.
Scientists conclude that the maximum possible age of a person is, and in the foreseeable future will be 125 years. Experts are inclined to explain this by the fact that the possibilities of health care and dietetics to "push back" the upper limit of life expectancy are practically exhausted today. Further steps in this direction, according to scientists, are hardly possible without direct intervention in the human genome, for which humanity is not ready either technically or morally. However, according to scientists, progress still continues to improve the average life expectancy, as well as the health of the elderly.
The new study is published in the journal Nature.
Dmitry Istrov