The long-term forecast for 2018 is of interest to a huge number of Russians - which, in general, is not surprising. Gardeners and gardeners want to plan the agricultural year in advance, draw up a planting calendar and hedge against possible natural surprises. Well, those who do not own their own personal plot want to plan their vacation in advance, having estimated in which of the months it will be possible to swim and sunbathe from the heart.
Don't forget the workaholics who don't go on vacation but are just curious. In the end, We are all waiting for the next surprises of Mother Nature, hoping that at least for the May celebrations and the Day of Russia she will pamper us with the sun and warmth. Let's try to find out what predictions are made by meteorological scientists for 2018.
2018 weather forecast
Of course, not a single self-respecting Hydrometeorological Center will make statements that its employees have made an absolutely accurate forecast for the coming year. Even in conditions of constant modernization of equipment, specialists cannot take into account all possible factors and formulate a forecast that will most likely come true. Take, for example, the situation with the summer of 2017.
Most of the sites posted information that after a short period of June rains, the usual hot summer will come practically throughout Russia. Even the forecasters themselves could not have imagined that during the first month of summer in the middle zone of the country there would be snow, and the second part of June would bring another surprise in the form of catastrophic showers and abnormally cold weather! At the same time, in some cities located to the north, after a long winter, an unprecedented heat immediately came.
Alas, forecasts describe only the most likely weather scenario. An accurate forecast can be made only for the next week, and the longer the time period, the higher the probability of error. This is explained simply - the movement of air masses, precipitation, cloudiness and other phenomena replace each other almost every minute, so that all forecasts are based on current trends. Even the most anomalous years in terms of temperature differences have approximately the same temperature in average annual terms.
By the way, there is good news - forecasters say that the anomalous fluctuations of past years will gradually fade away. In March, winter will give way to spring, summer will come in June, and December will bring the first snowfalls. Naturally, we are not talking about the Far North or the Black Sea coast, but about the middle Russian zone. Meteorologists call the end of the ten-year cycle the reason for the normalization of the weather front - solar activity will calm down, and natural processes will return to their usual rut.
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Season forecast
In winter 2018possibly lowering the average temperature level. According to forecasters, the Earth will be in a climate cycle characterized by a noticeable cooling. The most severe frosts will be recorded in Siberia, the Khabarovsk Territory, the Amur Region, Magadan and Yakutia, although for residents of regions where frosts up to 37 degrees are not uncommon in winter, lowering the thermometer by a couple of divisions is unlikely to be a surprise. A slight decrease in the temperature regime can be observed in Crimea, in the Caucasus and in the central part of the country - in Crimea to minus 13, and in other regions to minus 20 degrees in January-February 2018. At the same time, there is another group of experts who claim that the abnormal summer of 2017 chose all possible "minus", so that you can tune in to a warm and little snow winter with frosts of no more than -15 degrees in most of the countryup to -5 in the Crimea, and not lower than -30 in the north;
In the spring of 2018, specialists from the Hydrometeorological Center expect the temperature regime to normalize - warming will come on time. In the northern part of Russia, subzero temperatures will be observed until the end of May, in the north-west and in the center, spring will come after Easter - at this time the thermometer will rise to + 11-12 degrees. Well, in the south of Russia, the May holidays can be celebrated with the first swimming in the sea. In general, they promise a long spring - it will be warm, but not hot. Precipitation can be heavy, but no global catastrophes;
Summer 2018do not expect a sharp heat, however, after the abnormal cold snap in 2017, the weather will seem to Russians just fabulous. By the twentieth day of the month, residents of the country will be able to finally throw off their jackets, and residents of the central regions will enjoy warming up to + 19-23 degrees. In the south, summer will manifest itself even earlier - by the end of the month it will be possible to sunbathe and swim here, if heavy rains do not interfere, the likelihood of which, according to some weather forecasters, is quite high. In the middle of summer, many experts expect the arrival of abnormally high temperatures, but August can bring hot and dry weather with it - in the center and southern regions in such conditions there will be a high risk of fires. The exception to this rule is traditionally north. A cold cyclone can cover the Leningrad region,so that the residents of Northern Palmyra will need windbreakers already in the second decade of August;
In the fall of 2018, as the abnormal ten-year cycle ends, the weather will become milder - September will bring with it a velvet season with comfortable + 18-20 degrees, the first prolonged rains will fall in October, and November will cover the north and northeast of the country with a dense snow cover. In these regions, you can safely prepare for a decrease in the temperature regime to -11-13 degrees, and by the end of the month you will need to get winter insulated clothing.