Many do not believe at all that there are lucky people, but there are unlucky people. They say this is all an accident and this cannot be "someone more or less." I disagree with this and consider myself a lucky person. Not in any particular case, not on a major, but in the long run and on trifles. You just notice that somewhere everything could be much worse, but it’s like that - nothing happened. It was just luck. And then it turned out well. And it could be bad. I remember all the "luck", all the "bad luck" and conclude - yes, in general, it's lucky! From time to time I even try to use it somehow.
It turns out that all this can be explained in scientific terms. Maya Young, a management specialist at the University of California, Los Angeles, recently tried to investigate this phenomenon.
And I came to unexpected conclusions …
… - luck depends on the personality of the person himself!
Science claims that we can be influenced by our own beliefs about fortune. So, if we are convinced that we deserve it, or a bright streak has begun in our life, then we can unconsciously behave more confidently and, accordingly, increase our chances of success.
And here the so-called "streak of luck" begins!
Psychologists at Stanford University, in a paper published in 1985, also tried to investigate this phenomenon. They hypothesized that in a state of "intoxication" with luck, players are more determined to take complex actions, which temporarily increases the "success effect". Well, for example, if a basketball player got into the basket several times, then he then begins to make more complex throws, believing in his luck, and hits. If everything had been different in the beginning, he would not have dared to do so.
After analyzing about half a million sports betting, they found that those players who start winning are more likely to continue to win further. The same goes for losses. Statistics indicate that the probability here is higher than random - 50 to 50. Winners start to make safer bets so as not to "frighten off" luck. And the losers, on the contrary, get excited, hoping that in the end fortune will turn to face them. Therefore, the former continue to win, and the latter continue to lose.
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Many will say that "all this is far-fetched," but there are facts. For example, here is the story of Valerie Wilson, a New York grocery worker who won the grand prize twice. In 2002, she won a million dollars in one lottery with odds of 1: 5,200,000. And four years later, taking part in another lottery, she won the second million. This time, the odds of winning were estimated at 1: 705 600. What was her chance of winning the main prize in both lotteries? It is easy to calculate them: 1: (5,200,000 * 705,600) = 1: 3,669,120,000,000, or approximately one in 3.7 trillion.
I must say that in the history of American lotteries (of which there are many, and they are held constantly), there were only a few cases with repeated winning of prizes exceeding a million dollars. And the record holder for the number of big wins was Joan Ginter from Las Vegas. In 17 years, she won various lotteries four times - the last in 2010 - and thus "earned" more than $ 20 million. According to calculations, taking into account the chances of winning each time, such an achievement is possible only in one case out of 36 x 1024, or 36 septillions, against which even 3.7 trillion, or 3.7 x 1012 pales!
I liked how witty and rightly remarked on this occasion by an American professor of mathematics, an expert in the field of probability theory. He said: "This case is amazing, but the probability has no memory!" Those. Joan's chances of winning the next lottery are exactly the same as those of any other player. In other words, they are always there, albeit tiny.
