Already, 6 out of 10 Russians do not meet the requirements of the digital economy - such disappointing conclusions were voiced at a round table on the topic “Digital unemployment”. In the future, this number will only grow, experts say.
Alexey Zakharov, the founder of the SuperJob recruitment and job search portal, told in his speech at the round table who, in particular, will be at risk in the next 10 years:
1) Up to 90% of Moscow taxi drivers will lose their jobs. Yandex. Taxi will bring more than two thousand unmanned vehicles to the streets of the capital by 2021 alone (and then more, plus other companies will also operate in this market).
2) Buying cars for ownership will become unprofitable, which will entail massive layoffs in the insurance and advertising markets; workers at automobile plants will face the same sad fate.
3) To reduce the number of accountants in the economy by 10 (!) Times, it will take no more than three months: if today, for example, Sberbank decides to switch exclusively to electronic document management (followed by other banks and companies), more than 90% of accountants will immediately lose my job.
4) School teachers, especially teachers of foreign languages, are also under attack - for example, a smartphone already translates better than any teacher, and dozens of app-tutors offer a program that is more interesting and richer than a school one.
5) Since new production facilities are being built according to the principle of “zero people at the plant”, in the long term people employed in the extractive and manufacturing industries will also be left without work.
Alexey Zakharov believes that as a result of the lack of demand for a large number of labor resources, the working week and / or working time will be reduced, and the question of “regulation and the minimum wage” will arise. However, according to Zakharov, the problem in the future may be not only an overabundance of labor, but also its shortage, primarily of qualified personnel. A driver, like an accountant, is unlikely to be able to retrain as a designer or programmer, for these people only the work of a courier will remain available (and only until courier robots become widespread).
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