Futurologist and physicist Michio Kaku came to Moscow to talk about how our life will change in 30 years.
No fiction, not even science. Michio Kaku talks about the reality that many of us will see. After all, the middle of the 21st century, 2050 is already in thirty years.
Whoever is over thirty will remember the nineties. Has life changed since then? Yes, not that word! Well, at least take a phone as an example - thirty years ago, stationary households were still not in every apartment, but now all life is in a smartphone. But in general, the world is quite recognizable, people did not grow gills and did not move to Mars.
Here, in approximately the same logic and on the same scale, the forecast of Michio Kaku, the world famous futurologist, who recently visited Moscow and delivered a lecture at the Forum of Social Innovations of the Regions, sounds. What he says is not Kaku's personal invention. He interviewed 300 of the world's leading scientists.
- I am a physicist, and physicists are inventing the future. We invented television, radio, internet, laser, microwave oven, X-ray, GPS. And today physicists continue to invent our future,”Michio Kaku modestly assessed the role of his colleagues in the history of mankind.
Well, who else would know the whole truth about the future if not the person who invents it? So we study the forecast!
DATA - NEW OIL
Promotional video:
- The main thing that will change the world in the next 30 years is physics at the molecular level: artificial intelligence, nanotechnology and biotechnology. They will play the same revolutionary role as the appearance of steam engines and electricity in due time, Michio Kaku is sure. “And if oil and coal gave us energy for the industrial era, then in the information age, data will become the new oil. And the role of the oil refinery will be played by artificial intelligence.
Just imagine: the power of computers doubles every 18 months! Your mobile phone today has more computing power than all American and Soviet computers in the 1970s.
MORGNUL - LOGGED ON THE INTERNET
- Artificial intelligence will be everywhere - and nowhere at the same time. Already, doctors in operating rooms can see MRI scans using Internet glasses, and robots analyze TX-rays better than humans. In the future, workers will also be able to see drawings, architects - models. Children will put on glasses and watch cartoons.
Why are there glasses! The internet of the future will be right in the contact lens in your eye. Blinked - entered the Network. The first buyers of such lenses, of course, will be students before the final exams. Blinked, and sees all the answers! You will open the whole Universe with one movement of your eyelashes. It will affect every aspect of our life. You won't need to memorize anything else. Education at school and university will not be associated with memorization at all. I'm a teacher. I will not give so many lectures, students will look them up on the Internet. Instead, I will become a mentor, advise, make plans with the students.
… OR LEAVE A DATE
Or here's a blind date. Now a handsome man can charm you by telling you what a rich bachelor he is. And in the future, your contact lenses will immediately scan him and give him a biography: no, he's a loser and pays a bunch of alimony, don't date him! But on a date with a Chinese, lenses will help: they will translate all your conversations from Chinese into Russian and vice versa.
Further more.
“In the next 20 to 30 years, the Internet will be not only in the lenses, but also in your brain, it will merge with it,” Kaku foreshadows. - You will be able to send emotions, thoughts, memories to the Internet. Teenagers will definitely love it. They still put emoticons. And in the future it will be possible to attach your memory to the message - about your first dance, for example. This will break down barriers between people. We quarrel and even fight because we do not understand each other, we do not know how other people feel. And here is the future of television and cinema. 3D films that are familiar to us will seem like a silent movie - after all, we will be able to feel the emotions of the heroes!
ROLL YOUR MOBILE
“What will the New Year look like?” Kaku continues. - You no longer need to go to the store for gifts. Go to the Internet, download a drawing and print toys for children on a 3D printer. And jewelry for the wife. The sneakers can be printed directly in the store by measuring the foot with a laser.
Actually, all this is already reality - the only question is that it appears literally at every step.
- Today you probably have a computer, laptop, tablet, smartphone. What for? - asks the futurologist. - It's the same thing, it's just the screen size. In the future, it will become flexible: unfolded, the phone looked like a laptop, wrote everything that was needed, folded it, put it in your pocket.
WALLPAPERS ONLINE
At 4 o'clock in the morning, you wake up and feel somehow unwell. Maybe a heart attack? Or maybe he just ate a bad pizza? Now a person would eat a pill, call an ambulance, or wait until morning. In 2050 it will be in a new way:
- Come to the wall and say: my light, mirror, call me the robodoctor. The robot doctor, like the robotic lawyer and the robot engineer, appears on the wall of your house at any time of the day, speaks the purest Russian language and gives you all the information you need. If you're on the road, they'll get in touch through your watch, for example.
FLYING MACHINES AND SUPERSONIC AIRCRAFT
Cars will drive and park themselves. Also, scan the surroundings in search of free parking (eh, hurry up!).
“The robotics industry will become more important than the automotive industry,” said Michio Kaku. - Because cars will become essentially robots. Cars can also fly. Such ones already exist, in Dubai they plan to create a fleet of flying machines. Expensively simple. Then it will become cheaper.
Yesterday I was in New York and flew from there to Moscow for 10 hours. In the future, a flight across the ocean in a supersonic jet plane will take 2 hours.
PERFECT CAPITALISM
Do you know what ideal capitalism is? This is when everything honestly costs as much as it should, no one deceives anyone, does not overweight, does not wind up prices. It's even better than self-parking cars!
- The good news is that in the future all goods and services will become cheaper, and knowledge will be simply endless and available to everyone. Now you do not know how much things really cost, who is cheating on you and how much they make on it, explains Kaku. “The computer revolution will help customers - it will give us knowledge about goods. What is each of them made of, how much it really costs. Capitalism in general will be less and less based on goods and more and more on intellectual property. England, by the way, has earned more on rock and roll than on coal mining.
WHOM ROBOTS WILL NOT REPLACE
However, there will be losers in the technological revolution. These are people whose functions can be easily performed by robots. That is, everyone who performs exclusively repetitive actions.
Who will win?
- Those who own intellectual capital: that is, they work creatively, know how to think strategically, plan, - promises the American. - The Internet has already created more billionaires than any other technology. The secret is to find points of inefficiency, to identify redundancies, bottlenecks, intermediaries. And digitalize it all. Uber and Airbnb have done just that. The professions of the future are jobs that robots cannot do.
Namely:
- robots cannot fix the toilet, make electrical wiring in the house, design a beautiful garden. These are the professions where you need to think with your head and work hard with your hands at the same time, where templates do not work or do not always work. People are irreplaceable here.
- human interaction. Judges and lawyers, for example. They argue with other lawyers, with the jury, talk with victims, accused, witnesses, and sometimes solve difficult moral dilemmas.
- the main category is the so-called intellectual capitalists. People with creative abilities, able to write a novel, formulate the laws of physics, compose operas. Yes, at least it's funny to tell an anecdote.
LIVER? WE WILL GROW! THE BRAIN IS MORE DIFFICULT
“Both human DNA and every aspect of medicine, starting with diagnostics, will be digitized. It will be made by a tablet, inside of which is a microcircuit with a camera. Swallowed - and you can make a diagnosis based on the data received.
In the future, you go to the toilet, the toilet will instantly analyze what has got into it - including antibodies to cancer cells. They can be recognized 10 years before the tumor forms. You will have 10 years to react. Already today nanoparticles are able to search for and destroy cancer cells one by one. In the future, the word tumor will disappear from the lexicon.
If body parts start to wear out, we will grow new ones - from your own cells. And the body will not reject them. Scientists can already grow cartilage, skin, blood vessels, whole arteries. Even the bladder. The next organ is the liver, they have not yet learned to grow it, but it is a matter of time. Good news for fellow drinkers: you'll have a new liver.
And another organ that scientists are trying to grow is the brain. Let's start with the brain of the fruit fly, it is very small. We will try to reproduce each neuron; the fly has hundreds of thousands of them. Next, let's take a look at the human brain. Even now, the computer is able to recognize that we are thinking on certain topics and even guess individual words by brain activity - the beginning of telepathy has been laid. And later, fixing the memory will become a reality so that people with Alzheimer's can remember everything.
This is the future. With talking walls, flying cars and fearlessly drinking (liver transplants!) Plumbers.
REFERENCE
Michio KAKU is a futurist and theoretical physicist from the United States. Born in 1947 in California to a family of Japanese immigrants. He studied at Harvard and Princeton, taught there. Professor of Physics at New York City College. Author of popular science books (Physics of the Impossible, Physics of the Future, The Future of Mind and others), TV shows, as well as textbooks on quantum field theory and string theory.
YULIA SMIRNOVA
